Bitcoin’s four-year cycle loses relevance
The year 2025 marked a turning point for Bitcoin: the traditional four-year cycle of three years of price growth followed by one year of decline no longer holds true. This shift is significant as it affects market perception and the ability to forecast the cryptocurrency’s value.
The classic model of “three years up, one year down” no longer reflects real trends. The effect of halvings (reductions in miners’ rewards) on Bitcoin’s price dynamics has noticeably weakened. This means previously reliable market patterns are no longer dependable guides for investors and traders.
Bitcoin’s market is now exploring new patterns and adapting to instability, changing the game in the crypto world. Going forward, new strategies and models for analysing price trends are expected to emerge.
