Study reveals over 84% of Polymarket users trade at a loss
According to analytics, only 15.9% of participants on the Polymarket prediction platform make a profit, while 84.1% incur losses. The analysis covered about 2.5 million addresses on the Polygon network from April 2024 to April 2026. This highlights the high difficulty of generating consistent income on the platform, which is important for potential users and investors.
The study also found that a very small portion of traders achieve substantial earnings: only 2.1% made over $1,000 total, 0.32% exceeded $10,000, and just 0.033% earned more than $100,000. Monthly figures show a similar trend, with between 0.13% and 1.25% of users earning over $1,000 per month. This underscores the high level of risk and volatility present on the platform.
Additionally, stable profits on Polymarket are rare; only 53% of successful traders maintained their results over time. This dynamic points to the need for caution and thorough analysis when using the service.
Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction trading platform, specializing in event betting. It allows users to make forecasts on various topics using cryptocurrencies and the Polygon network, making it one of the most popular in its segment.
In summary, the user statistics of Polymarket indicate that profitable trading on the platform is the exception rather than the rule. This can affect the platform’s attractiveness to new investors and requires careful risk management.
Moving forward, further changes in the distribution of user profits and losses on Polymarket are expected, likely tied to market fluctuations and improvements in the platform’s algorithms.
