Trump’s operation against Iran assessed: gas shortages and prospects of a prolonged conflict
The Economist magazine assessed Trump’s operation against Iran, noting that 17% of the world’s natural gas supply could become unavailable for the next five years. This situation carries significant economic consequences for the global energy market.
Donald Trump stated that the United States will not deploy ground troops to Iran but added that the “excursion” will soon end and that the US can seize Khark Island at any time. These statements reflect the tense and unpredictable nature of the conflict.
Pentagon and Trump’s actions indicate readiness for a prolonged military operation. Trump announced plans to request substantial funds from Congress to support the operation, with the declared budget of around $200 billion comparable to the US spending on the Iraq War in a single year.
The situation for Trump in the war against Iran is unfolding unfavorably, which might force him to distract public attention by releasing the so-called “Epstein case.” This move could be a tactical step in the political struggle.
Thus, the US operation against Iran has the potential to become a lengthy and costly war affecting global energy flows and US domestic politics.
It is important to monitor developments closely, as this conflict could harm the global economy and reshape the geopolitical landscape in the coming years.
