A poll showed a tie in the gubernatorial race in Ceará
In the Brazilian state of Ceará, incumbent Governor Elmano de Freitas and former minister Sírio Gomes are tied in the gubernatorial race, each with 44% support. These findings from a Real Time Big Data poll were reported by The Rio Times.
The survey was conducted August 15–19 among 1,600 voters. The margin of error is two percentage points at a 95% confidence level. The poll is registered with Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court under number CE-08223/2026.
In a simulated runoff, Freitas would receive 46% and Gomez 45%, meaning the difference falls within the margin of error. A previous Datafolha poll, published on August 13 and commissioned by O Povo, showed 52% support for Gomez versus 33% for Freitas. It was based on responses from 1,022 respondents surveyed August 10–12.
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In the state of Pará, according to AtlasIntel, Hana Hassan of the MDB leads Dr. Daniel Santos of Podemos: 48.6% to 40.5% in the first round. The poll, conducted August 14–19, included 1,197 voters; the margin of error is three percentage points. The survey’s registration number is PA-04533/2026.
In a second-round scenario, AtlasIntel projects 49.1% for Hassan and 41.8% for Santos. Another 6.4% of respondents chose to cast a blank or spoiled ballot, while 2.7% remained undecided.
A separate poll by Real Time Big Data, conducted in Ceará during the same period, showed Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro: 65% to 21% in the first round and 66% to 27% in a simulated second round.
