Opta's supercomputer has updated the national teams' odds of winning the 2026 World Cup
The analytics portal Opta has released an updated forecast of the teams’ chances of winning the 2026 World Cup following the conclusion of the round of 16 and the elimination of all the tournament’s host nations. Following the elimination of the United States—and earlier, Canada and Mexico—the supercomputer recalculated the probabilities of each national team winning the tournament.
According to Opta, France still has the best chance of winning the title. Didier Deschamps’ team successfully advanced to the quarterfinals, defeating Sweden and Paraguay.
Spain and England are considered the French team’s closest competitors in the race for the trophy, having overtaken Argentina—the current favorite—in the rankings.
Opta’s updated rankings of favorites for the 2026 World Cup:
- France — 27.91%
- Spain — 22.73%
- England — 17.23%
- Argentina — 11.73%
- Norway — 7.20%
- Morocco — 4.26%
- Belgium — 3.87%
- Colombia — 2.85%
- Switzerland — 1.98%
- Egypt — 0.25%
Thus, France currently remains the top contender to win the 2026 World Cup, while analysts predict that the battle for the title will primarily unfold between the French, the Spanish, and the English.
This is reported by the website of the analytics company Opta.
As a reminder, the Spanish national team became the latest quarterfinalist of the 2026 World Cup after narrowly defeating Portugal in a highly anticipated Iberian derby. The outcome of the Round of 16 match was decided by a single goal scored in stoppage time of the second half.
The Belgian national team confidently defeated the United States 4–1 in the Round of 16 of the 2026 World Cup.
