Israel polls show differing assessments ahead of Knesset elections — Jerusalem Post
In Israel, five Knesset election polls published in recent days have produced significantly different assessments of support for parties and political blocs. At the same time, all of the surveys indicate that, one month before the vote, the decisive outcome of the race remains unclear. According to the Jerusalem Post, small parties near the electoral threshold could affect the final distribution of seats.
Different assessments of Likud’s position
According to a Channel 14 poll, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud could win 32 seats, while Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party could receive 22. The right-wing bloc in this survey would have 63 of the 120 seats in the Knesset, the left-wing bloc 45, and Arab parties 12.
i24NEWS estimated Likud’s support at 27 seats and Yashar’s at 22. The coalition bloc in this poll would receive 60 seats, the opposition 47, and Arab parties 13. At the same time, a Maariv poll gave Likud 18 seats and Yashar 22; the coalition bloc would have 49 seats, while Zionist opposition parties would have 55.
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Eisenkot leads in some polls
According to an N12 poll, Yashar could become the largest party with 23 seats, while Likud would receive 20. The bloc of Netanyahu’s opponents would have 66 seats, including 54 held by Zionist parties and 12 by Arab parties. The coalition could win 50 seats, while the separately counted list of Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha would receive four.
Channel 13 also placed Yashar first with 22 seats, compared with 18 for Likud. Under this poll, the opposition could receive 52 seats, the coalition 51, Arab parties 13, and the Hendel and Zelekha list four.
Average figures remain close
The average result of the five polls gives Likud 23 seats and Yashar 22.2. Naftali Bennett’s Beyachad party averages 10.6 seats, the Democrats 9.8, and Yisrael Beiteinu eight. The average for the coalition and right-wing bloc is 54.6 seats, for the Zionist opposition 50.6, and for Arab parties 12.4.