According to bookmakers' predictions, Leléka has made it into the top 10 potential winners at Eurovision 2026

Following the conclusion of the first semifinal of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026, bookmakers have updated their predictions regarding the contestants’ chances of winning. Ukraine has slightly improved its position in the rankings, moving up from 11th to 10th place.

According to bookmaker statistics, Ukraine’s representative, Leléka, with the song “Ridnym of pray,” currently has a 62% chance of making it into the top ten contestants.

In addition, bookmakers estimate Ukraine’s chances of making it into the top 5 at 20%, while the probability of the Ukrainian representative winning currently stands at 2%.

Analysts also predict that Ukraine’s advancement to the final is almost guaranteed. According to bookmakers’ estimates, the probability of Leléka advancing after the second semifinal is 95%.

Finland remains the leader in bookmakers’ predictions after the first semifinal. The country’s representative has a 37% chance of winning the contest.

Greece currently ranks second in the predictions with a 14% chance of winning, and Denmark is third, with bookmakers giving it an 11% chance.

The favorites also include Australia with a 7% chance of winning, as well as Israel and France, each with 6%.

As a reminder, the 70th anniversary contest “Eurovision 2026” is taking place in Vienna. The show’s grand final is scheduled for May 16 and will be held at the Wiener Stadthalle—Austria’s largest indoor concert venue.

Ukraine’s representative, Leléka, will perform in the second semifinal of the contest on May 14 as number 12.

Based on the results of the first semifinal, representatives from Greece, Finland, Belgium, Sweden, Moldova, Israel, Serbia, Croatia, Lithuania, and Poland have already advanced to the final.

Bookmaker predictions traditionally change after each stage of the contest, so the participants’ standings may shift significantly after the second semifinal and the dress rehearsals.

The second semifinal of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 will take place on May 14 in Vienna. Fifteen countries will compete for a spot in the final, including Ukraine, represented by singer Leleka with the song “Ridnym.”

The organizers of Eurovision 2026 have explained the contest’s voting rules.

Eurovision organizers issued a warning to Israel for violating the voting rules.

Moldovan artist Satoshi will be the first to take the stage in the Eurovision semifinals today. In just a few years, he has gone from a boy from a small town to one of Moldova’s most prominent young musicians, and his name has been the subject of heated discussions on more than one occasion.