Military Aid to Ukraine in 2025 is dropping sharply
Military support for Ukraine in 2025 is rapidly approaching its lowest levels since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion.
The German research center Kiel Institute warns that, at current trends, this year could become record-low in terms of new commitments from international partners to Kyiv.
Researchers emphasize that this trend poses risks to the stability of Ukraine’s defense in the medium term.
Until the change in Washington’s approach, the United States provided over half of all military aid to Kyiv. The situation began to shift after Donald Trump returned to the White House in early 2025, when the U.S. president pursued a gradual reduction of American involvement in supporting Ukraine.
European countries tried to compensate for the reduction in U.S. supplies at the start of the year and for a while demonstrated growth in aid volumes. However, by autumn, their momentum weakened, and the continent returned to much more modest rates of new aid commitments.
In the first ten months of 2025, the total volume of military aid to Ukraine amounted to €32.5 billion, with the majority provided by European allies.
To even match the weakest year since the start of the full-scale war—2022, which totaled €37.6 billion—partners would need to provide over €5 billion in just the last two months of the year.
To reach the average annual level of €41.6 billion during 2022–2024, more than €9 billion in new commitments would be required—a significant challenge given the current pace of approval.
