U.S. Intelligence: Iran's regime is in crisis, but there are no signs of an imminent collapse
U.S. intelligence agencies believe that the Iranian government is in the midst of a deep crisis, but there are currently no signs of its imminent collapse, according to Axios.
According to sources, during a closed-door hearing before the House Intelligence Committee, CIA Director John Ratcliffe and Pentagon Intelligence Chief James Adams spoke about Iran’s problems with governance and control.
At the same time, they emphasized that it is too early to draw conclusions about the regime’s ability to survive a war.
Axios sources among Iranian officials note that the assassination of Ali Larijani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, has exacerbated the power vacuum, which is largely being filled by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).
Additionally, they say that the strengthening of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s son’s position is linked to his close ties with the IRGC, which wields significant influence over the country’s political and economic life.
For its part, Israel asserts that increased external pressure could contribute to internal destabilization in Iran and heighten the likelihood of the regime’s collapse.
As a reminder, Tehran has begun allowing commercial vessels to pass through the Strait of Hormuz only for a fee.
In addition, French President Emmanuel Macron announced the start of consultations with key partners on establishing a UN mechanism to ensure the security of the Strait of Hormuz.
Recall that war in the Middle East threatens global food security, according to Al Jazeera.
Donald Trump stated that after the “demise” of the Iranian regime, control of the Strait of Hormuz should be assumed by American allies. He criticizes Europe for its unwillingness to send ships to escort tankers. The U.S. is prepared to leave patrolling to its allies if Iran falls.