NATO has identified a potential year of heightened risk of conflict with Russia
The Inspector General of the Bundeswehr stated that Russia could be ready to launch a potential attack on NATO countries as early as 2029, although the risk cannot be ruled out even sooner. NATO emphasizes the need to simultaneously maintain combat readiness, build up forces, and develop a technological edge. Germany’s top military official made this statement in an interview with the Süddeutsche Zeitung.
Germany has warned of possible long-term security risks for NATO, stating that Russia could reach a level of readiness for a potential attack on Alliance territory by approximately 2029, although certain scenarios do not rule out an earlier timeline.
Carsten Breuer emphasized that a number of factors, including rearmament, troop buildup, and economic trends, paint a broader picture that converges around the midpoint of the next decade.
According to Bröyer, it is precisely because of such assessments that the Alliance and European countries must simultaneously work in three directions, which he outlined as maintaining immediate combat readiness, building up defense capabilities by 2029, and developing a technological edge in the longer term through 2035 and beyond.
He also noted that Germany’s new defense approaches and the Bundeswehr’s planning already take these challenges into account, and European partners, he said, share the assessment of the key threat posed by Russia, emphasizing that the primary source of risks to the continent’s security remains unchanged.
The Alliance’s mission in Ukraine expressed solidarity with the Ukrainian people following a large-scale missile and drone attack carried out by the occupiers.
Sweden warned Denmark of the risk of a potential provocation by Russia in the Baltic Sea. This refers to a possible seizure of one of the islands to test the reaction of NATO countries and the unity of the Alliance.
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has proposed that Alliance countries allocate 0.25% of their GDP annually to aid Ukraine, sources report.