Morawiecki's Party Could Shift the Political Balance in Poland, According to a Poll
A potential new political force centered on former Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, following his possible departure from the Law and Justice Party (PiS) could significantly alter the balance of power in the Polish parliament and become a key player in the formation of a future coalition.
According to a poll, the Law and Justice party’s approval rating dropped to 17.3% at the end of July, which is six percentage points lower than at the beginning of the month.
At the same time, Morawiecki’s new political force, Rozwój Plus, can already count on 7.4% support, which would allow it to clear the electoral threshold and enter parliament. However, 86% of its potential voters are former PiS supporters, while the electorate of the more right-wing “Confederation” has not yet shown any interest in the new project.
Jagiellonian University Professor Jarosław Flis noted that with this distribution of votes, none of the leading political forces will have an independent majority, and Morawiecki’s party could secure the so-called “golden share,” which would allow it to play a decisive role in coalition negotiations.
According to the poll results, support for “Confederation” has dropped to 12.3%, while the even more right-wing “Confederation of the Polish Crown,” led by Grzegorz Braun, maintains 10.9% support.
At the same time, Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s “Civic Platform” has improved its standing, garnering 30.1% of the vote—one percentage point more than before. Seven percent of those surveyed are ready to support “New Left.”
In contrast, according to the poll, the Polish Peasants’ Party, “Polska 2050,” and Razem do not meet the electoral threshold and would not currently enter parliament.
This was reported by RMF24, citing the results of an IBRiS poll commissioned by Rzeczpospolita.
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