Danish intelligence predicts intensification of Russia’s hybrid attacks — Cyprus Mail
Denmark’s military intelligence service said that Russia, an aggressor state, is likely to intensify hybrid attacks against the West and NATO in the coming months. In its new threat assessment, the intelligence service also pointed to a low but growing risk of a limited Russian military attack on one or more neighboring Alliance states.
As Cyprus Mail reports, citing Reuters, the issue of hybrid warfare and sabotage in Europe drew renewed attention after Germany accused Russia of attempting a drone attack on Leipzig/Halle Airport. This prompted EU members to call for new sanctions against Russia. Moscow has repeatedly denied involvement in hybrid warfare, sabotage in NATO countries, and planning any confrontation.
Risk of attacks on infrastructure
According to the Danish service’s assessment, Russia will carry out more frequent attacks, the consequences of which for targeted countries may be more serious than before. Thomas Ahrenkiel, head of Denmark’s military intelligence, said that a possible limited attack could involve isolated strikes by long-range drones or missiles against infrastructure supporting Ukraine.
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He also said that Russia could resort to false-flag operations using Ukrainian-made drones. Another possible scenario, he said, would be the deployment of a limited number of troops to a NATO border area under the pretext of protecting Russian minorities. According to Ahrenkiel, the aim of such a scenario would not be to seize a country, but to split NATO.
Incident in international waters
The Danish military reported that last week a Russian frigate fired two signal flares toward a Danish military helicopter that had been sent to photograph the vessel in international waters near Denmark. One of the flares nearly hit the helicopter.
Separately, the Danish Resilience Agency raised its threat level and said that Russia is likely to attempt destructive cyberattacks against Denmark.