Europe's children will face more fire weather — Anadolu Agency
In Türkiye, Anadolu Agency reported on a study according to which children born in Europe in 2025 may experience almost twice as much exposure to extreme fire weather over their lifetimes as people born in 1950. The study was published in the journal Environmental Research Letters.
Current policy scenario
Under current climate policies, a child born in Europe in 2025 may live through three more years of extreme fire weather than a person born 75 years earlier. Under this scenario, global warming by the end of the century is projected at approximately 2.6°C.
Researchers estimated that children born in 2025 will experience 84% more exposure to extreme fire weather than the 1950 generation. According to their calculations, 86% of this increase is linked to climate change, while 14% is due to rising life expectancy.
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The largest increase is in the Mediterranean
The most noticeable increase is expected in the Mediterranean region. Children born in 2025 may face an additional five years of extreme fire weather there compared with people born during the postwar baby boom.
The authors analyzed 21 climate scenarios projecting warming from 1.5°C to 3.5°C by the end of the century. They defined extreme fire weather as days with conditions more severe than the most extreme 5% of values during the 1985–2014 baseline period.
If global warming is limited to 1.5°C, children born in 2025 will experience 1.3 fewer years of extreme fire weather over their lifetimes than under the current policy scenario. Hot, dry and windy conditions contribute to the rapid spread and more intense burning of fires, while Europe, according to the study, has warmed about twice as fast as the global average.
