Yabloko could have won up to 20% of the vote in the State Duma elections
The Russian Yabloko party could have received at least 18–20% of the vote in the State Duma elections had it not been barred from the election campaign. This is according to data from the independent research group ExtremeScan.
The poll was conducted in July, before the party was barred from the election. Among all respondents, 4% said they were ready to vote for Yabloko. Among respondents who had already made up their minds, support for the party stood at 6%—which is above the 5% electoral threshold.
According to sociologists’ estimates, had Yabloko continued its campaign, it could have gained an advantage among the anti-war electorate. In that case, a result of 18–20% of the vote would have been entirely realistic.
By comparison, among voters who had made up their minds, “United Russia” had a rating of 38%, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) — 20%, “New People” — 15%, and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) — 12%.
The Public Opinion Foundation (FOM) also recorded a rise in support for Yabloko. In a poll conducted August 7–9, 4% of all respondents said they were ready to vote for the party. A week earlier, this figure stood at 2%.
According to FOM, this is Yabloko’s highest level of support in recent years and the best result among non-parliamentary parties whose ratings are tracked by the polling service.
Other surveys have also shown a rise in support for the party. In late July, *Nezavisimaya Gazeta* reported Yabloko’s rating at 9.38%, while the Russian Field project estimated its net rating in Moscow at 5.27%.
Earlier, a Moscow court banned the Yabloko party from participating in the parliamentary elections.
