Poll: Le Pen and Mélenchon may reach second round of French election — Daily Maverick

In France, Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon could reach the second round of next year's presidential election in each of the five scenarios considered, according to a Toluna Harris Interactive poll. This was reported by Daily Maverick. The survey was conducted on September 22–24 for French television channel M6 and Luxembourg media group RTL.

First-round results

Le Pen, who leads the far-right National Rally, could receive between 35% and 36% of the vote in the first round, according to the poll. This is higher than the 33% recorded in a previous poll published on September 14.

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Mélenchon of the France Unbowed party could win between 17% and 18% of the vote and advance to the second round alongside Le Pen. Leading centrist contender Édouard Philippe could receive between 13% and 16%, depending on the scenario, which would not be enough to advance to the second round.

Possible second round

According to the poll, Le Pen could defeat both Mélenchon and Philippe in a possible second round. Against Mélenchon, she could receive 69% of the vote, while in a matchup with Philippe, she could receive 57%.