The National Security and Defense Council stated that covert mobilization in Russia has intensified
Andriy Kovalenko, head of the Center for Countering Disinformation at the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, stated that covert mobilization in Russia is intensifying and suggested that its scale could influence the Russian leadership’s decision regarding a new open draft.
According to the head of the Center, Russia’s Permanent Representative to the UN, Vasily Nebenzya, is attempting to conceal the true situation not only from Ukrainians and the international community but also from Russians who are trying to leave the country.
Kovalenko asserts that the intensity of covert mobilization is already increasing in Russia.
“He does not mention that covert mobilization is already intensifying in Russia, with people being detained and forced to sign contracts. This phenomenon will become increasingly widespread, and whether Putin announces mobilization in early October will depend on its scale,” the head of the Center for Strategic and Political Analysis wrote.
At the same time, these statements represent the assessment of a Ukrainian official and are not confirmed facts regarding a future decision by the Russian authorities.
Kovalenko also stated that, against the backdrop of potential mobilization risks, there has been an increase in the number of Russians in Armenia, Kazakhstan, and Georgia.
According to him, some Russian citizens are traveling to these countries in anticipation of potential problems related to the mobilization of men.
Earlier, Russia’s Permanent Representative to the UN, Vasily Nebenzya, stated that the Russian authorities do not plan a new mass mobilization after the State Duma elections.
Thus, the statements by the Russian and Ukrainian sides regarding the prospects of a new mobilization in Russia differ significantly.
Ukrainian authorities had previously stated that Vladimir Putin may be planning an additional mobilization of several hundred thousand Russians.
At the same time, the specific timing and scale of a possible new draft remain unconfirmed. Ukraine is preparing to counter a potential increase in Russia’s mobilization resources.
Kovalenko wrote about this on Telegram.
Russia’s Permanent Representative to the UN, Vasily Nebenzya, stated that the Kremlin currently has no plans to announce a mobilization after the fall elections. At the same time, he called for waiting until the end of the electoral process, hinting that the situation could change.
In Russia, authorities plan to impose fines for failure to comply with decisions made by regional leaders and operational headquarters regarding mobilization and meeting the army’s needs. The Russian government has submitted a corresponding bill to the State Duma for consideration.
